a random walk

on brownian motion

In 1827 Robert Brown watched pollen grains jitter in water and assumed, reasonably, that they were alive. They weren’t. They were being shoved, thousands of times a second, by water molecules too small to see.

The mathematics that eventually described this — Einstein in 1905, Wiener making it rigorous in the 1920s — has a property I keep coming back to: a Brownian path is continuous everywhere and differentiable nowhere. It never jumps, and yet at no instant does it have a direction.

the drunkard, eventually

The discrete cousin is the simple random walk. Flip a coin, step left or right. In one dimension the walker returns home with probability 1. In two dimensions, also 1 — it just takes a while. In three dimensions, the probability drops to about 0.34.

A drunk man will find his way home, but a drunk bird may get lost forever. — attributed to Shizuo Kakutani

Which is, I suppose, why the walk on this site’s home page lives on a sphere: it gets to wander in three dimensions but is gently prevented from getting lost.

why it matters to me

Almost everything I care about — diffusion, stock prices, the drift of an idea through a group of people — is a random walk wearing a costume. Learn one, get the others at a discount.